What is economic growth?
an increase in the amount of goods and services produced per head of the population over a period of time.
what is the uk's long run trend of economic growth?
2.5% is the gov'ts aim to have sustainable growth for the long run
why would gov'ts aim to increase economic development before economic growth?
this is because in emerging markets and developing economies economic development will improve living standards, life expectancy, literacy rates
Income vs wealth
Income is assets EARNED (e.g. cars, houses, money etc) while wealth is assets already OWNED.
consumer spending
C spending on goods/services
gov't spending
G public sector demand
investment
I spending on capital goods
exports
X overseas markets
imports
M goods bought overseas
national income = ?
y= GDP
savings
S Deferred spendings - not spent
leakages/ withdrawals
spending (income) that flows out of the circular flow. T = taxation S = savings M = imports
injection
income going into circular flow G = gov't spending X = exports I = investments
How to achieve equilibrium
injections = withdrawals X+G+I = S+T+M
what does it mean if national income is rising
I+G+X > S+T+M inflation
what does it mean if growth is declining
I+G+X < S+T+M recession
increase gov't spending
reduce tax
lower interest rates
circular flow of income
A simplified model of the economy that shows the flow of money through the economy.
what does national income measure
national income is the total value of goods and services a country purchase. it is the output in one year and can be measured by GDP, GNI and GNP
What is nominal GDP?
the production of goods and services valued at current prices
Define the circular flow of income model. Why is this model important?
model that represents the exchange between firms and households
benefits both of them mutually
represents the flow of money and goods in the economy
What does investment spending represent spending on ?
Productive physical capital
When is unemplyment likely to occur?
When savings are greater than investments
leakages > injections
Real GDP = ?
Nominal GDP x 100/price index
What is real GDP?
Ajusted for inflation expressed at current prices (chosen by base year)
Nominal vs real GDP
GDP goes up when prices go up - inflation (nominal)
GDP goes up when more/better goods & services are produced (real) - measures 2nd type of growth - controls inflation - if price hasnt changed
Measure of living standards = ?
Real GDP/ real GDP per capita
declines during a recession - increase in unemployment
What is purchasing power parity ?
when the buying ability of different currencies is = across countries , the foreign exchange market is in equilibrium
the purchasing power of the $
The problems w/ using GDP per capita as a measure of economic performance
GDP per capita is average - takes no account of inequaity i.e. the way money is distributed
the informal sector - price of goods & services deliberstely not declared
subsistence and barter
exchange rate differences (PPP)
quality of goods - certain goods improve over time
social indicators impact living standards
The happiness agenda - criticisms
definition of happiness is subjective
measurement
policy implementation
does income actualy correlate w/ happiness
How do we measure inflation?
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
a measurement of the price level in the economy based on the prices of a collection of products (basket)
What is inflation?
a general increase in prices and fall in the purchasing value of money.
What is inflation rate?
Annual rate of change of the avg. price of goods & services
What is disinflation?
If inflation reduces from 3% to 2%, prices are still going UP, just at a slower rate than before.
What is deflation ?
Prices are FALLING
decline in general price level in the economy - leads to a spiral
What is the process of calculating CPI ?
living costs and food survey :
7,000 families are asked to keep a record of what they spend over 2 week. Used to produce typical basket of 700 goods & services.
each year basket changes to reflect consumers change
the basket of goods & services is weighted. - what is more important ( proportion of total expenditure)mfoe each good/service.
second survey records how much these goods & services have changed
Main causes of inflation ?
Demand pull inflation
cost push inflation
administered prices
What is demand push inflation?
Aggregate demand from customers - scarcity
What is cost push inflation ?
Cost rising for businesses - raw materials and components costs & overseas suppliers - rising imports due to falling exchange rates
What is administered prices?
Changes in regulated prices - bills - changes in taxes
CPI weighting
CPI basket
contains the goods and services represented in the index, each weighted by its relative importance
Price value = ?
Price value = A(pxw) + B(pxw) + C(pxw) + D(pxw) = Pv
Index for year x = ?
Index for year x = price value of year x /price value of base year X100
Percentage change when comparing with base year = ? ( calculating index)
(New - old)/ old X 100
CPI measurement problems
changes in quality - measuring price change doesnt measure quality
changes in expenditure - spending patterns change quickly
potential sampling error - not all households could answer survey accurately
CPI vs RPI
population base - RPI excludes high and low income households
housing costs - CPI includes actual rents but not owner occupiers housing costs
GPD deflator
Nominal gdp/real gdp X 100
What is trade surplus?
Exsist when value of exports is > value of imports
What is meant by a fall in GDP at constant prices?
constant-price GDP factors out the impact of inflation and allows for easy comparisons by converting the value of the dollar in other time periods to present-day dollars.
When GDP declines for two consecutive quarters or more, by definition the economy is in a recession
What is the possible impact on the distribution of income of negative economic growth ?
High levels of inequality are linked to economic instability, financial crisis, debt and inflation